Monday, September 29, 2008

Pattaya Is the Hottest Interest among Investment Circles

Pattaya is the hottest interest among investment circles. Pattaya could turn out to be the next big thing in real estate investment circles at the same time as foreign investment rises and outside interest grows.

Pattaya is a small city on the east cost of the Bay of Bangkok. It is situated in the region of south-south-east of the Thai capital and it has an approximate population of just greater than 100,000 people. On the whole, it would give the impression as if a simple town in the vein of hundreds of that type of towns all over the world, although the position of this city and the recent nature of the real estate market has unintentionally joined to make it a feasible hotspot for real estate in the near future.

The first leap for Pattaya happened to be in the 60s, when it was rehabilitated from a fishing village into a beach resort town. Its exclusive locality gave it some of the most excellent sand in the area and so it develop into a well-kept secret for people that were searching for the resort way of life in a place that is not jam-packed by tourists inflowing the area on a regular basis. On the other hand, that same uniqueness finally started to make lots of people very fascinated in development of more resorts in the neighborhood and obviously when that occurs, a healthy and energetic property market is not too far behind.

This has been very obvious in current years as in 2007. Pattaya was visted by 6.85 million visitors with approximately 20 % of them being of Thai origin. Compare this with the 2002 figures for Pattaya tourism which were not more than 2 million people, maximum of which were travelers from away in the country. In just a half decade, Pattaya has projected from a well-kept secret into the leading tourism destination for Thailand and that is specifically what has so many property investors interested in the city.

There are by now a number of foreign investments inside the Pattaya market, with investments of roughly THB 200 million having been put in by locals together with people from Europe, Asia and North America. Though, if Pattaya turn into a so-called "five star town" as lots of analysts think it will, that amount will be miniscule compared to what ultimately gets invested.

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Trump Endeavors Development Project in Thailand

American property magnate Donald Trump is ready to get involved in a major development project in Thailand. He is in deliberations with Gaysorn Group to put in a major mixed utilization project in central Bangkok, it has been established.

The company plans to build up a luxury shopping mall together with 178 serviced apartment units and 30 high-end residence units with 30 year leasehold agreements.

"We are looking at development prospects. We suppose that Asia makes available bright prospects for growth in the future," said a spokesman for the Trump Organization.

The group of the Trump Organization, well-known as an international developer of luxurious properties, consists of office buildings, hotels, condominiums, casinos, golf courses and country clubs, mostly in major cities in the US. It is also building up Trump International Hotel & Tower at The Palm Jumeirah in Dubai.

The latest project at the Ratchaprasong intersection, Bangkok's main retail site, is planned to contend with two direct rivals in close proximity, CentralWorld and Siam Paragon and has an estimated completion date of 2010.

Gaysorn also plans to build up 20 luxury villas for sale at Cape Paradise on Patong Beach in Phuket with show units completed by the end of 2008.

Trump is still in the making to take notice if he has been given the go forward to construct the world's 'supreme' golf course near Aberdeen in Scotland. The result of the public investigation into the £1 billion resort development is likely to come any day.

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Bangkok: Shedding Expensive Mega Projects

At the same time as other candidates for Bangkok governor are demonstrating to speed up money-consuming mass-transit projects, Chuwit Kamolvisit is taking an unusual approach. The massage parlour king-turned-politician wants to slump the expensive projects and let the central government take care of their construction.

''The Bangkok Metropolitan Administration (BMA) has a yearly budget of only 60 billion baht, which has more or less come to an end after paying its more than 100,000 employees,'' said the candid candidate.

''Bangkok has to bring to halt mega projects (made by the city itself) that engage a huge amount of money,'' he said, mentioning the necessity to stay away from conflicts of curiosity and improve the transparency of these projects.

''The BMA just rents a single room in a house consisting of several rooms,'' he said. ''This is quiet alike to the country in which the central government is in command of every province.''

Mr Chuwit also condemns strategies of his opponent Apirak Kosayodhin, the Democrat Party incumbent, doubting how the capital's financial plan could take care of the mass-transit rail projects that necessitate hundreds of billions of baht.

''I would rather talk and synchronize with the authorities concerned to link an electric train project with the nearby provinces of Nonthaburi, Pathum Thani and Samut Prakan,'' he said.

To make the most of the city's financial plan, Mr Chuwit said the BMA should contract out non-core actions and focus on projects that deal with social troubles such as garbage, pollution and health care.

On the financial system, Mr Chuwit promised to bring his proficiency to govern Bangkok to make it a peer of London, New York and Los Angeles.

A significant proposal of his is to make Bangkok one of the biggest tourist cities like Paris, Singapore or Hong Kong.

While encouraging tourism, Mr Chuwit said enhanced city planning and organization would lend a hand in cleanliness, pollution control, and security of tourists.

He is also approaching a ''polluter-pay principle'' for Bangkok businesses in which environment taxes would be taken from big polluters like shopping malls and major buildings.

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Property Projects on Track

Two property developers, Major Development Plc (MJD) and Ananda Development Co Ltd, have been persistent that their joint ventures with the top insurance firms AIG and Prudential are protected from the global financial crisis as the finances were raised in Asia.

MJD president Suriyon Poolvoralaks said his company's subordinate MJAI Development Co had been created by a joint venture between MJD and AIG Global Real Estate Investment (Asia) in the beginning of 2008.

He said finances were raised by AIG in Asia for supplying in the real estate market in Asia, together with Thailand. MJAI has by now invested in Royce Private Residences as its initial Thai residential project and more investments may go behind, he said.

The 3 billion baht Royce Private Residences, consisting of 165 units on a three-rai site on Soi Sukhumvit 31, has been funded by Tisco Bank and the supplier Seafco started piling work on the site in September 2008.

Mr Suriyon said the project was going as per agenda and a replicate room and sales office should be open by October 2008.

He added that the AIG fund was "very optimistic" regarding the Thailand market and was eager to invest more, even though it had by now finished its investment in Royce at the beginning of the project.

Ananda Development Co chief executive Chanond Ruangkritya said its subordinates Ananda Development One Co Ltd (Ananda One) and Ananda Development Two Co Ltd (Ananda Two) were combined ventures with TMW Asia Property Fund I operated by Primerica Real Estate Investors, the real estate investment advisory business of Prudential Financial Inc. "despite the fact that they are move down from US-based Prudential, TMW's funds are raised from investors in Asia. The majority are pension and oil funds," he said.

"Prudential is very conformist and not in the business of guaranteeing collateralized liability compulsions (CDOs), which caused the global credit crisis and the predicament for Lehman Brothers."

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Future of High rise Property Projects on the Edge Remain Undecided

Regardless of the optimism in the real estate market, there are at present a large number of high-rise property development projects left on the edge. At the same time as a few of them have the prospective to continue construction, it is estimated that several will see no movement in the near future.

A large number of high-rise property development projects were initiated and completed in Bangkok from the property market crest in 1994. Though, construction of most of these projects comes to an end when the economic crisis hit the roof in 1997. At the same time as a number of them have restarted construction over the past recent years in response to better market conditions, lots of them have remained left incomplete since then.

The finding of a recent study reveals that there remain 48 high-rise projects, whose construction is in progress and then has been put on hold from 1997 till now. The findings also show that the office and condominium sectors have seen the utmost supply on the edge, with 43 projects having stopped construction for over five years.

As only some parties have discovered the technical authenticities for these long-time skeleton buildings to restart construction, there are many issues that both developers taking into account re-establishing their projects and investors in view of taking over poised projects will have to take into account in terms of viability. For example, along with high-rise property projects that have been left incomplete for several years, it is hardly feasible that parts of the building structure and a number of built in systems that have been installed by now may be damaged by the atmosphere and due to the shortage of maintenance. Changing new systems can take additional time and be more expensive than installing the similar systems in a fresh project. The possible marketability of the projects by the time when they will be finished is another key subject to think about.

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Luxury Detached Housing Market of Bangkok

At the same time as the luxury detached housing market in Bangkok Metropolitan Area has experienced an increase in supply, many have expressed their anxiety over saturation in the market. Though, with strong demand for luxury houses, comparatively large amount of supply would not set the market into much dilemma, should the fresh supply grow at a deliberate speed.

There were more than 5,200 luxury single houses in around 70 projects across BMR as at the end of July 2008. The average sales rate was approximately 61% with projects that were launched before 2008 observed an average sales rate of around 76%.

In general, the market has done relatively well. Demand has increased in response to Thailand’s strong economic ground rules and low interest rates which now allow consumers with a domestic income of only 110,000 baht to pay for a 7-million-baht house. And very significantly, demand is from consumer's end and there have been only a few speculators in this segment of the market. Regardless of the fact that there were approximately 40% of luxury single houses left over unsold, the greater part of unsold houses was in recently launched projects that would take some time to be captivated.

390 houses were sold monthly on an average and as per this sales rate, the number of unsold units would be zero in nearly 5 months. Though, utilizing this average sales rate to estimate the definite amount of time for houses in the existing projects to be completely sold could be deceptive.

It might take much more time for a number of units the accessible luxury detached housing projects to be sold due to a comparatively less favored location, kind of houses and project conception. In addition, as there are several fresh luxury housing projects are about to be launched, consumers will have more alternatives and the average number of unsold houses in the market will certainly be elevated.

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Demand For Condominiums in Central Bangkok Remains Strong Although Fails to Maintain Speed With Supply

Sales of condominiums in central Bangkok have decreased equally in the luxury and non luxury segments. Though, the average demand continues to be on the positive territory as a number of fresh projects that were launched in 2007 were in the high-end segment.

There are at present 47,500 condominium units in central Bangkok. An added 12,160 units are in projects which are under construction. At the same time as completed buildings gets the average sales rate of 98%, projects which under construction and those that are being revealed from blueprint are attaining the average sales rate of 66%.

As expected, circumstances of the condominium market in central Bangkok have alleviated with the average sales rates decreasing. This is not the consequence of weakened demand although the quick growth of supply which demands could not maintain pace with.

while the market outlook for 2008 is less clear than 2009 due to the increasing interest rate that is likely to deteriorate buyers’ spending power, we remain hopeful that the market in general would not face any major crash, provided that most of the accessible developers in this sector are well skilled and can make out what their targeted consumers are searching for.

There have been approximately 6,000 fresh units launched yearly in central Bangkok over the last three years at the same time as around 5,500 units in both completed projects and projects that were freshly launched were sold every year over the same period.

Back to central Bangkok, there are at present 5,300 units left over unsold. In theory, if there were no fresh condominium projects launched in 2008, and demand keeps on at the same level as in 2007, all of the left over units would be sold by the end of 2008. Though, the truth is some of the left over units are those that do not meet customer's necessities and would not be sold straightforwardly. In addition, there remains several fresh projects that are about to be launched into the market in 2008.

With decreasing sales rates, many developers have implemented exceptional price campaigns or price discount policy to sell the left over units.

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Sunday, September 7, 2008

The Bangkok and Pattaya Real Estate Market

After revolving in a stable sales performance in 2007, in spite of political circumstances and declining global economic conditions, Pattaya is likely to see the launch of a lot of distinguished residential developments in 2008, together with up to eight new condominium projects such as Major Development’s Reflection, Raimon Land’s The Lofts Southshore and other projects. These projects are most probably support the high-end development tendency that has been seen in Pattaya in the last five years.

Raimon's Northpoint has proven to be triumphant and has accomplished few of the highest prices per sqm in the area. The Spinnaker, part of the White Sand Beach project, has also gained good sales.

Although investors are persistent to be interested in the Thai property market, the intensity of transaction activity continues to be low due to a deficiency of eager vendors. Buildings and land plots are obtainable; though, most owners are seeking finest prices for both income-producing assets and land plots. Besides, there is a shortage of fresh and good quality properties in the market with most owners wanting not to sell, there is still a good requirement in resort destinations like Phuket, Pattaya and Koh Samui.

The Bank of Thailand (BOT) relaxed capital controls in fourth quarter of 2007 for ventures in property funds to let off overseas investors from both the unremunerated reserve requirement (URR) and fully-hedged requirement for recently issued units in obtainable property funds by accessible unit holders although not for fresh investors in obtainable or fresh property funds..

In first quarter of 2008, requirement of residential property continued to be stable as luxury projects in excellent locations with exclusive selling points sustained to execute strongly. The number of recently launched city center condominium projects and Bangkok Metropolitan Region (BMR) housing projects reduced as developers prefer to be careful, given long-lasting hikes in construction costs and the election of a new government whose strategies were as until now unknown.

The residential leasing sector also observed constant demand. The average possession rate of emigrant apartments in the city center area remained in the 87-93% range observed since 2000, suggesting a stable market. Serviced apartment occupancy decreased because of the sharp elevation in supply in 2007.

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Foreign Property Investors Eye Bangkok

Property investors from Australia, Singapore and Hong Kong are eyeing opportunities to snap up Thai property in the central business district. Foreign investors had asked some of the major real estate companies to locate attractive properties for them in prime areas for investment purposes.

Majority of investors preferred serviced apartments, residential buildings and hotels in the central business district.

Some of the companies are now dealing with foreign investors interested in serviced apartments and hotels in the prime areas and hotels in Phuket and Pattaya, as well as residential and retail buildings. However, the name the investors were not disclosed, pending completion of the transactions.

Property prices in Thailand have bottomed out, adding that they were relatively low, similar to those in Indonesia. However, Thailand's political and economic stability compared to Indonesia is seen as more attractive to foreign buyers.

UK-based property companies and funds were looking to buy in Thailand as well, especially office and retail buildings. A few UK-based companies are interested in joint ventures with SC Asset to buy office buildings in prime central business districts, but names cannot be revealed. UK-based companies were interested in buying completed buildings rather than land in Bangkok because supply in the sector had outstripped demand, meaning lower prices than before the economic crisis began.

Since 1998 approximately more than 50 property funds have invested in Thai property companies, both through the purchase of a stake and cash injection. Major deals have included GIC Real Estate's 20-per-cent stake in Land and House Co., Westbrook Partners' 40-per-cent equity investment in Amarin Plaza Plc and Lehman Brother's 20-per-cent buy into Noble Development.

Attractive factors helping the positive investment environment could be attributed to the improvement in fundamental factors, such as gross-domestic-product growth and low interest and inflation rates.

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Samui Turning into 'Boutique' Hotspot

Koh Samui is hovering to turn into Asia's ''boutique island destination'' with limited properties with characters dissimilar from resort destinations like Phuket, as per the real estate consulting firm CB Richard Ellis.

Prakaipeth Meechoosarn, manager of CBRE Samui, said developments on Samui were controlled, even though more local and foreign players were getting involved, the island continued to be an elite destination for tourists in search of a quieter, more isolated retreat.

There are only a few numbers of condominiums in Samui, and a fresh survey of the sector revealed that 70% of the total accessible and future supply of just about 500 units was still under construction.

The northeast area of the island (Choeng Mon Beach) financially records about 38% of total accessible and future supply, followed by the north (28%) and the east (25%). 59% of units were sold by the end of second quarter of 2008.

Costs of condominium units on Koh Samui range between 1.8 - 48.7 million baht per unit, with an average of somewhat 10.4 million baht.

Villa supply is in the same way inadequate, with approximately 550 accessible and future villa units spread in 41 projects. The north and northeast coasts have been established and being admired for villa developments, with 21 projects accounting for 40% of entire unit supply, followed by the west (17%) and southwest (14%). 44% of the total obtainable and future supply had been sold by now in the second quarter of 2008.

In the long run, CBRE considers, the high-end and luxury segments of the Samui property market will do better than the market overall. Coastal land costs have been on the mount and prime plots are getting uncommon.

''Land cost movements will play a noteworthy task in the pattern of development on Samui, as will the constant development of infrastructure and other support services,'' said Ms Prakaipeth.

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Property Market in Phuket Is Hardly Affected By the Current Political Situation

In spite of the shutting down of Phuket International Airport for two days, real estate experts in Phuket claim their industry is not likely to be influenced as foreign consumers know Thailand's political circumstances.

Martin Phillips, based in Phuket as managing director of the upmarket residential brokerage Engel & Volkers (Thailand) Co, said no customers had deferred purchases regardless of the circumstances being international front-page news. Thailand was not unaccompanied in facing political problems and that these conditions time and again takes place in Europe.

''This is not strange and these are generally short-term disturbances, much the same as the momentary closure of Phuket,'' he said.

''We do not feel that the political circumstances will have an effect on property purchases in Phuket as most consumers in Phuket are foreigners who are familiar with Phuket and know Thailand to a certain extent. We consider the demand for Phuket properties will not fall owing to this,'' he said.

Although Mr Phillips added that current political improbability in Thailand was not obliging to business normally or to the resort property market, which would do well from an environment more favorable to investor confidence.

"As this is a domestic concern, and has so far stayed quite diplomatic, it regrettably will not be viewed optimistically across several sectors, not just resort property,'' he said.

Patima Jeerapaet, managing director of the consulting firm Colliers International Thailand, said Thailand required to correct the country's image right away to support foreigners about the generosity Thai people generally make available to foreign guests.

He said foreign investors were still certain about the basics of the Thai economy, which were much enhanced than those of its neighbors like Vietnam, Cambodia and Burma.

He confessed that a few foreign investors might holdup purchases, however said investors who realize the theory of high-risk, high-return were still coming across to invest in Thailand.

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Koh Samui Changing Its Position in Property Sector Quickly

For a small island, Koh Samui is producing a lot of noise in the property sector quickly changing from a "budget-back-packer" destination to a high-end retreat which seems set to adversary sister island Phuket. As the seashore property markets in Phuket and Pattaya grows to be gradually more costly and more saturated, people are moving to Samui, which is Thailand's third biggest island.

Property agents estimate investment in Samui is mounting at around 20 % annually and the current service of the island's image has fascinated a more prosperous set of visitors.

Samui property has developed into a multi-level market, presenting renters and consumers with a collection of property alternatives from high-end villas to estate developments.

Mr Andreas Pfiffner of Koh Samui Properties said that land and apartments are still the most desired mode of investment in Samui although he added that gated communities are also being taken into contemplation as they are now growing in number.

One of the island's potency is that it is gifted with immense natural beauty. The most admired and developed beaches are at Chaweng and Lamai on the east shoreline. These beaches are loaded with apartments, gourmet restaurants, nightspots, luxury spas, shopping and commercial services.

Bophut and Maenam, are nearer to the airport but hushed than the more inhabited beaches.

Samui is famous as a centre of healing with a profusion of spas, retreats, rumination centers, fasting and cleansing programs, reiki and hands-on healing masters.

The presence of Bangkok-Samui Hospital has also lifted the island's profile. Rising numbers of guests are either investing in a holiday home or choosing it to make Samui their home-base.

Star International Real Estate has an apartment in Coconut River up for sell. The apartment has three bedrooms and two bathrooms with all bedrooms and the living room being air-conditioned. The apartment is perfectly appropriate to provide accommodation to larger families of up to six if necessary.

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2008 Could Be a Good One for High-End Property Projects in Thailand

After a inactive first half of 2008, the Thailand property market has observed considerable growth in the third quarter of 2008, mainly in the luxury condominium and apartment estate segments, commercial property has continued to be strong which presents an even brighter point of view, according to Thanisarra "Honey" Sinprasertwong CEO of One-2-Property.

Thai Real Estate Association president Somchao Tanterdtham expects that the real estate market in Thailand would see growth of approximately 5 % to 10 % in the third and fourth quarters of 2008.

"In the first six months, the property market has not done well for the reason of economic volatility and price increases, which have elevated the level of ambiguity in the minds of customers," Somchao said.

Honey said the costs of a lot of real estate projects are likely to increase considerably in the next few years for the reason of strong price increases, elevated construction costs and the increasing costs of raw materials.

Lots of customers are ready to pay money for property in 2008 on the prospect that costs would go up in the next few years.

Commercial banks in Thailand will decrease their deposit insurance to around Bt1 million [per account] in the coming five years in agreement with the Deposit Protection Act lowering interest and security from bank accounts. A lot of locals have wanted different investment prospects, like investing in property and exchanges which makes available higher returns.

Buzz-Inc's (Owner of One-2-Property) Chairwoman , particularly Phuket and Bangkok said, "China's quick expansion has given a fresh market not only for tourism, however for property also, we have observed enthusiastic interest at Expo's in Hong Kong and from our Advertising from China and at present around 20% of hotel enquires are coming from Hong Kong and Shanghai".

Numerous property developments that had been built in the previous year are still convincingly priced as developers sustained lower prices then, however they are preparing to sell out as the market knows things will turn out to be more costly next year.

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M.K. Delays Condominium Development Plans

M.K. Real Estate Development will give attention on developing low-rise apartment projects after the termination of tax incentives next March, and is holding up plans to bigger scale condominium projects, says assistant managing director Chutima Tangmatitham.

“The tax incentives helped get better demand for our apartment projects in the first half of 2008 as homebuyers got tax reimbursements”, said Chutima.

On the other hand, because of the harsh environmental impact appraisal rules, elevated construction expenses and lower margins when compared to low-rise apartment projects, the company is not preparing to get underway any high-rise condominium developments in 2009, although does look forward to start 3-4 low-rise apartment projects worth a combined value of Bt2 billion.

M.K. Real Estate Development has already purchased a number of land plots for the new developments and is at present in talks for others.

M.K. Real Estate Development has a sales accumulation of approximately Bt1.6 billion baht, among which the company looks forward to clear around Bt1.4 billion this year in 2008. The developers has attained revenue of around Bt1.48 billion by now in 2008, which is more than half of the Bt2.7 billion sales target for the year 2008.

After a heavy first half of 2008, the Thai property sector is beginning to rise up, and will record growth somewhat between 5-10 percent, says Thai Real Estate Association president Somchao Tanterdtham.

"In the first six months, the real estate industry has not done well for the reason of economic volatility and high inflation, which have increased the level of hesitation in the minds of customers," Somchao said.

Many consumers are keen to purchase this year on the probability that prices will rise considerably in the next few years due to high inflation, elevated construction costs and the increasing costs of raw materials.

A lot of property developments that had been built last year are still sensibly priced for the reason that developers earned lower costs then, although they are beginning to surrender as the market knows things will happen to be more expensive in 2009, says Somchao.

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